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This book introduces students to probability, statistics, and stochastic processes. It can be used by both students and practitioners in engineering, various sciences, finance, and other related fields. It provides a clear and intuitive approach to these topics while maintaining mathematical accuracy.

The book covers:

• Basic concepts such as random experiments, probability axioms, conditional probability, and counting methods
• Single and multiple random variables (discrete, continuous, and mixed), as well as moment-generating functions, characteristic functions, random vectors, and inequalities
• Limit theorems and convergence
• Introduction to Bayesian and classical statistics
• Random processes including processing of random signals, Poisson processes, discrete-time and continuous-time Markov chains, and Brownian motion
• Simulation using MATLAB and R (online chapters)

The book contains a large number of solved exercises. The dependency between different sections of this book has been kept to a minimum in order to provide maximum flexibility to instructors and to make the book easy to read for students. Examples of applications—such as engineering, finance, everyday life, etc.—are included to aid in motivating the subject. The digital version of the book, as well as additional materials such as videos, is available at www.probabilitycourse.com.

• Sales Rank: #71045 in Books
• Published on: 2014-08-24
• Original language: English
• Dimensions: 9.69" h x 1.68" w x 7.44" l, 2.88 pounds
• Binding: Paperback
• 744 pages

Most helpful customer reviews

20 of 20 people found the following review helpful.
Clear and Succinct Resource for Learning the Fundamentals
By Fotchy
Introduction to Probability, Statistics, and Random Processes and the accompanying website elucidate the fundamentals. As an introductory and self-study resource, it succeeds quite well. From the prospective of a current math undergraduate, there is often no problem with locating supplementary information (think Wikipedia, which is actually cited in this book) and difficult problems (e.g., MIT OCW). What is, however, harder for us to find is a source that clearly and succinctly teaches the fundamentals of a discipline. That is where this book and website can be helpful.

The embedded solutions and proofs are an especially handy feature of the website. Setting them up in this manner makes it easier to actively learn the material, i.e., attempt the examples and proofs first rather than gloss over the solutions. The site also includes calculators for relevant computations, a comprehensive appendix on distributions, and a collection of video lectures to accompany the first few chapters. Overall, it is an excellent self-study or supplementary resource to use to first grasp the basics. If you want to then examine novel applications, rigorous theory, or challenging problems/proofs, then there's plenty of other free resources available :)

17 of 17 people found the following review helpful.
Ideal for seniors and graduate students
By Aaron
I give this book five stars for its clarity and thoroughness. I must say my first reaction was to be surprised at how much better this book is at explaining probability and statistics. On the whole, the writing of the book is rather light and entertaining. For instance, the discussion over convergence and multiple random variables brings a rather complex notion down to something we can identify. Studying this book is ideal for both seniors and graduate students. This book will give all of the students appreciation of all fields actively related to probability and statistics.

The solved problems are very useful. Each non-trivial step in an equation is explained, but not in a frustrating way. There are some problems at the end of each chapter that require deep thinking. However, I think a few more involved ones would be useful. Also, chapter 12 and 13 on the textbook website are very valuable to me in learning simulation using R and MATLAB. These two languages are widely used in my research.

13 of 14 people found the following review helpful.
I very much liked the structure of the book
By Soheil
I very much liked the structure of the book. The text is very easily readable and math expressions are clear and comprehensive. Each section includes many examples with solutions, which makes it easier for students to test themselves. Solutions are complete and easy to follow, and steps are well explained.

The book starts with vary basic concepts of probability theory, and covers some higher level notions on stochastic process, and Markov chain. It also has a section on concentration which is very useful. These together with the book webpage which provides examples both in MATLAB and R, make the book a very good fit for an undergraduate level textbook on probability.

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"Spurious Correlations ... is the most fun you'll ever have with graphs."--Bustle

Military intelligence analyst and Harvard Law student Tyler Vigen illustrates the golden rule that "correlation does not equal causation" through hilarious graphs inspired by his viral website.

Is there a correlation between Nic Cage films and swimming pool accidents? What about beef consumption and people getting struck by lightning? Absolutely not. But that hasn't stopped millions of people from going to tylervigen.com and asking, "Wait, what?" Vigen has designed software that scours enormous data sets to find unlikely statistical correlations. He began pulling the funniest ones for his website and has since gained millions of views, hundreds of thousands of likes, and tons of media coverage. Subversive and clever, Spurious Correlations is geek humor at its finest, nailing our obsession with data and conspiracy theory.

• Sales Rank: #25424 in Books
• Published on: 2015-05-12
• Released on: 2015-05-12
• Original language: English
• Number of items: 1
• Dimensions: 7.75" h x .75" w x 6.00" l, .0 pounds
• Binding: Hardcover
• 208 pages

Review
Although it is often funny, Vigen adds that 'this book has a serious side. Graphs can lie, and not all correlations are indicative of an underlying causal connection.' We may love to contemplate the data that seem to connect sharks and tornados (who wouldn't?), but Vigen's reminder is important when we're faced with spurious correlations in the wild, played not for laughs but to mislead.―Boston Globe

The perfect little book for adding fuel to your Dad's font of...information."―Bustle

"Draws into comical and obvious relief how easily we can get trapped into seeing relationships where there are none."―Boston Globe

"Hilarious."―Washington Post

"Cheeky."―Huffington Post

"Bizarre."―The Daily Mirror

"Spurious Correlations...is the most fun you'll ever have with graphs."―Bustle

About the Author
Tyler Vigen is a student at Harvard Law School. He created the Spurious Correlations website during a week before finals, when he probably should have been studying. Prior to attending Harvard, Tyler was trained in visual intelligence collection and analysis by the military.

Most helpful customer reviews

16 of 17 people found the following review helpful.
Comics for nerds
By wiredweird
"Correlation is not causation." Any proper nerd absorbed this with her mother's milk.This ridicules correlation by its own rules. Flip ten coins in sequence, a few dozen times. Among those few dozen,some sequences will inevitably achieve this odd mathematical property of "correltation." In this case, it means nothing. With enough of these short, random sequences, some among statistically must achieve this property of "significance," which very often means nothing.

That's Vigen's point. If you take 100 random data sets, do the math, and match them all against each other and look for p=0.05 significance, you'll probably have over 2000"significant" correlations. Some might come from common underlying variable, like a map of U.S. disposable diaper usage that looks exactly like a map of U.S. population. Many come from the fact that Bonferroni corrections aren't widely used. And all of them come from the fact that random data has random signals in it. Statistically, pareidolia becomes compulsory

So, brace yourself. You'll see samples too small to mean anything. You'll see blatant disregard for correlations due to underlying ('confounding') variables. You'll see every statistical error made, and flaunted. If you can read it that way, you'll come away with a muscle cramp labelled "wry" in your cheeks.

And you'll read some earnest comments about how the procedure is invalid from the ground up. They'll be right, and will have missed the joke, and will have missed missing it.(Google "dunning kruger.")

It's dumb. It's dumb by design. It looks for ways to be extra-dumb. Ant that's what I like about it.

-- wiredweird

8 of 9 people found the following review helpful.
Fascinating and fun
By P. Johnson
Wonderful read. It was not just lots of intriguing, amazing, interesting spurious correlations, but his introductions in each section were clever and well written. Fascinating and fun!

5 of 6 people found the following review helpful.
Amusing one-trick pony
By MT57
This is a lightweight, coffee table book as the review by Randy Olson says. You can read it, because it's mostly pictures, in less than half an hour if you want. It's sort of a one-trick pony, dozens of different, humorously absurd examples of two graphs showing a high degree of correlation between two nonsensically paired topics, like cheese consumption per year and deaths from choking in bed per year. There is a token amount of text slotted under the graphs, that occasionally is itself humorous, but never substantive. The author has just one, albeit important, message and it's driven home over and over again: past correlations don't prove anything. A message most journalists should have tattooed on the back of their hands, given how often they mis-report statistical analyses.

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• Sales Rank: #9714728 in Books
• Published on: 2002
• Binding: Paperback

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0 of 0 people found the following review helpful.
A good read
By Deborah M.
An older book but a good read. Arrived in perfect condition

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• Published on: 2009
• Binding: Hardcover

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Over the last decade, the theatre and opera of the French Revolution have been the subject of intense scholarly reassessment, both in terms of the relationship between theatrical works and politics or ideology in this period and on the question of longer-scale structures of continuity or rupture in aesthetics. Staging the French Revolution: Cultural Politics and the Paris Opera, 1789-1794 moves these discussions boldly forward, focusing on the Paris Opéra (Académie Royale de Musique) in the cultural and political context of the early French Revolution. Both institutional history and cultural study, this is the first ever full-scale study of the Revolution and lyric theatre. The book concentrates on three aspects of how a royally-protected theatre negotiates the transition to national theatre: the external dimension, such as questions of ownership and governance and the institution's relationship with State institutions and popular assemblies; the internal management, finances, selection and preparation of works; and the cultural and aesthetic study of the works themselves and of their reception.

In Staging the French Revolution, author Mark Darlow offers an unprecedented view of the material context of opera production, combining in-depth archival research with a study of the works themselves. He argues that a mixture of popular and State interventions created a repressive system in which cultural institutions retained agency, compelling individuals to follow and contribute to a shifting culture. Theatre thereby emerged as a locus for competing discourses on patriotism, society, the role of the arts in the Republic, and the articulation of the Revolution's relation with the 'Old Regime', and is thus an essential key to the understanding of public opinion and publicity at this crucial historical moment. Combining recent approaches to institutions, sociability, and authors' rights with cultural studies of opera, Staging the French Revolution takes a historically grounded and methodologically innovative cross-disciplinary approach to opera and persuasively re-evaluates the long-standing, but rather sterile, concept of propaganda.

• Sales Rank: #3582905 in Books
• Brand: Brand: Oxford University Press
• Published on: 2012-05-31
• Original language: English
• Number of items: 1
• Dimensions: 6.50" h x 1.50" w x 9.40" l, 1.60 pounds
• Binding: Hardcover
• 448 pages

Features

• Used Book in Good Condition

Review

"[T]he first in-depth study of the relationship of the revolution to lyric theater...Recommended." --Choice

"Makes a convincing case for nuance in discussing the Revolution's complex and contested articulation of music and politics...An achievement." --Notes

"Some studies are important for the insights they provide into vast, timeless questions; others, because they fi ll a gap in our understanding of a specific author, genre or institution. Mark Darlow's Staging the French Revolution does both." --French Forum

About the Author

Mark Darlow is Senior Lecturer in French at the University of Cambridge and was previously Lecturer at the University of Nottingham. He studied at the University of Kent at Canterbury and the Ecole normale supérieure, Paris.

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[O129.Ebook] Download PDF The Postman Always Rings Twice, by James M. Cain

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Bound in publisher's original grey full cloth blocked with design by Patrick Leger and housed in a black paper-covered slipcase. Introduced by Steve Erickson. Illustrated by Patrick Leger.

• Sales Rank: #6383759 in Books
• Published on: 2012
• Number of items: 1
• Binding: Hardcover

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88 of 97 people found the following review helpful.
Hemingway stream-lined and accelerated
By Dennis Littrell
I spent some time trying to find out why this potboiler turned literature is called "The Postman Always Rings Twice" since at no place in the novel is a postman even mentioned. At first I thought it might be an echo of Eugene O'Neill's The Iceman Cometh, dreamt up by Knopf, Cain's publisher, to lend some literary pretension to a novel they weren't sure about; but that play wasn't written until some years after Postman was published in 1934. It was recently suggested to me (by Joseph Feinsinger, one of Amazon.com's best reviewers of literature) that it might be a rejoinder for the saying "opportunity knocks only once," which was the sort of pabulum given to out of work people during the depression. Cain's original title was "Bar-B-Que," which is entirely appropriate for a couple of reasons (the café, the burning car), but was perhaps a little too morbid for Knopf's sensibilities.

At any rate, the title finally chosen is somewhat magical as is the novel itself, the first of Cain's hard-boiled, loser tales that somehow caught the imagination and psyche of depression America. Re-reading the novel today one wonders why, but then again, I can see why.

First there's the raw sex with Frank forcing himself onto Cora, biting her lip, etc. and she loving it, that was somewhat shocking for its time. Ditto for the spontaneous sex they have in the dirt outside the car after Frank has beamed Nick. Then there is the fascination we have with stupid people doing vile deeds rather clumsily (with whom we might identify). But more than anything else it's the style. Cain raised the dime novel to something amazing with his no nonsense, no time to chat, no description beyond the absolutely necessary--a pared-down to raw flesh and bones writing style that made even some of the icons of literature sit up and take notice. Edmund Wilson, long the dean of American literary critics, was intrigued by the novel, as was Franklin P Adams who called it "the most engrossing, unlaydownable book that I have any memory of." (Quoted from Paul Skenazy's critical work, James M. Cain (1989), pp. 20-21). And Albert Camus said that his internationally famous masterpiece The Stranger was based in part on Postman. The alternate English title, "The Outsider," perhaps reveals its debt to Cain more clearly. Today the sex seems rather tame and the terse style seems almost a burlesque, having been so often imitated. I personally think that Cain, who was a one-time editor of The New Yorker and a relatively sophisticated literary man, was actually taking Hemingway's primer-prose style to its logical conclusion by simply cutting out all of Hemingway's poetic repetitions and anything else that didn't move the plot.

Well, how well does this stand up after almost seventy years? It was made into two movies, a 1946 version starring John Garfield and Lana Turner and a 1981 version starring Jack Nicholson and Jessica Lange, which you might want to compare. You can read the novel faster than you can watch either movie. I read it in an hour and I'm no speed reader. There was also a play and, believe it or not, an opera. The atmosphere is suburban naturalistic, set in the environs of Glendale, California, just north of L.A. where there really are (or mostly were) oak trees. (The name of the café is the Twin Oaks.) The story is a little confused in parts, and a little unlikely elsewhere (Cora really would not be such an adept at gun toting, and the Frank would not be so quick to fall for the D.A.'s line of chatter and turn on Cora, nor could Nick be quite so blind to the hanky-panky going on behind his back). But what Cain got so, so very right was the underlying psychology. This is a classic triangle, the old guy with the resources who can't cut the mustard anymore with a young wife who longs for love, a little excitement and to be rid of "that greasy Greek." Even deeper (and this is characteristic of Cain) is the suggestion that Nick encouraged Frank and kept him around, using his presence to spice up his own libido. Furthermore, Frank is a kind of depression-era anti-hero, who beat up on the hated railway dicks, the kind of guy who has become a film noir staple, a man who acts out his basic desires in an amoral, animalistic way. I see woman. I take woman. I eat when I'm hungry, drink when I'm dry, and sleep when I run out of gas, a kind of natural man on the run, the kind of guy we think we would like to be for a change (a brief change) in our daydreams around two p.m. on a blue Monday afternoon.

Cain followed this up with Double Indemnity (using some insurance fraud research he had left over). Double Indemnity appeared as a serial in Liberty magazine after being rejected by Redbook. It was also made into a classic Billy Wilder movie starring Barbara Stanwyck, Fred MacMurray and Edward G. Robinson in 1944 a year after it finally appeared in book form.

Cain, along with Raymond Chandler, Dashiell Hammett, Nathanael West and later Ross MacDonald created a kind of southern California milieu that Hollywood has mined again and again with such postmodern films as, e.g., Chinatown (1974) and L.A. Confidential (1997). Read this (during lunch) for its historical value as a precursor of film noir and the hard-boiled detective novel.

--Dennis Littrell, author of "Novels and other Fictions"

36 of 38 people found the following review helpful.
Beyond Hardboiled
By Thomas F. Ogara
Whenever the question of the origin of the "hardboiled" school of detective literature comes up in conversation, three names always get mentioned: Dashiell Hammett, Raymond Chandler and James Cain. Hammett was the master of the character, Chandler of the atmosphere.
And Cain was the master of the plot. Not in the sense of trying to tease us with the "whodunit" like the great British talespinners; Cain's books are not mysteries in the true sense of the word, because we usually know almost from the outset Who Done It. But Cain will keep you on the edge of your seat following the incredible turns of fate that his characters experience. And perhaps that's the key to Cain, not only in this book but in all of his others: the real major character is an unfriendly fate, which sooner or later destroys the protagonists. Cain's stories are ugly - his characters are all either ugly and stupid or ugly and clever - and perhaps this is the ugliest story he ever wrote.
Hollywood was always both fascinated and repulsed by Cain; Warner Brothers made "Double Indemnity" into a movie, but only after they turned it over to Rayond Chandler to do the screenplay and "sanitize" it (Billy Wilder got screenplay credits along with Chandler, but the book was Cain's; it's more than worth a read too). "Postman" has been made into a movie twice, and while both versions are admirable each in their own way, neither one of them manages to express the utter futility of life, and the sense of just how amoral the average man can be in the right situation, that are the hallmarks of Cain's work.
I think it's not the sex in his novels (of which there is some, but tame stuff by modern standards) that made Cain unsettling in his day, but rather this sense of futility, and that is why Hollywood, and society in general, had a hard time accepting Cain as a mainstream writer. Great? Yes. Give him a read - it's like watching a train wreck. It's horrible, but you can't take your eyes off it.

19 of 24 people found the following review helpful.
Fast-paced thriller you will never forget
By ConstantConsumer
When I was 12 I climbed on board something called The Texas Cliffhanger at Six Flags Over Texas. It was a small four or five person bench with a cage around it that lifted us something like five stories into the air. Then it pushed us forward and dropped us. The entire ride lasted maybe a minute, but I never forgot it and I by God knew I’d had a thrill. The Postman Always Rings Twice is no different. It is wild and one of the shortest novels I’ve ever read. But believe me, I know I’ve read a novel.
Not only is the book short, its pace rarely relents. There is not an overabundance of description or other literary devices. It slams the door, straps you in and drives you to the end. And you get there fast with no detours and no fluff and nothing extra, just the point. You rip right through piles of mistrust and angst and murder and love and passion and lies and truths and you end in reality. And for Cain, reality is a cold floor and a long walk and a knotted rope swinging in the wind.
I believe this novel started a whole line of fiction and movies that continues to this day. First and most obvious, the noir genre has its roots here. The colloquial speech, the first person narrative, the looker dames who are in where they ought not be – it’s all here. Second, the love triangle involving a drifter and a young woman married or indentured to an older, wealthy man....
I’d recommend this one wholeheartedly. Not just for its place in literary history, but for the pure joy of a good read. Lie back and let it take you for a quick thrill.

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[E329.Ebook] PDF Download The Names of Jesus, by A.B. Simpson

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A.B. Smith was a Canadian Evangelical who preached around the globe and wrote important words such as: " A Larger Christian Life" and "The Gospel of Healing". The Names of Jesus encapsules a series of sermons preached by Simpson on the names of Christ.

• Sales Rank: #835604 in Books
• Published on: 2014-03-24
• Original language: English
• Dimensions: 9.00" h x .19" w x 6.00" l,
• Binding: Paperback
• 80 pages

About the Author
Albert Benjamin Simpson author, hymn writer, conference speaker, was an evangelist to the urban masses of New York City and a missionary statesman. Among his enduring achievements was the founding of The Christian and Missionary Alliance and what is now Nyack College.

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10 of 12 people found the following review helpful.
A Christian Classic for the 21st Century
By M. H. Walter
A.B. Simpson (1843-1919) was a man who saw reference to Jesus Christ on nearly every page of Scripture. He offers clear, practical, Biblical truths to believers who are starving for more of God's presence in their lives.

Some Examples: 1) Christ Our Passover - "God does not want us to be in continual unrest and self-reproof, but in quietness and confidence to trust Him to keep us pure and holy.' 2) Christ The Refiner - "The service of sanctified men and women is immeasurably more precious to God in its most trivial forms than all we can do or give when our hearts are swept by earthly passion or influenced by selfish or unholy motives."

4 of 4 people found the following review helpful.
This book is one of the best I have ever read
By Theophilus
This book is one of the best I have ever read. It helped me a lot in gaining a greater appreciation for the Lord Jesus, but in learning a lot of other precious spiritual truths as well. Some of these old authors have a lot more to say to the Church today than a lot of modern authors. I have other books by Simpson and Andrew Murray and others that are pure gold. We should take advantage of the wisdom and spiritual insight of these old ministers of past generations.

1 of 1 people found the following review helpful.
Great Devotional Read
By SR
A.B. Simpson has always, always, always been one of my favorite Christian authors. He is easy to read and his books have very practical and applicable life applications. This book reveals timeless truths about the many names of Jesus, but they go deeper into a fuller understanding of those names. It has definitely changed my perspective on our great Lord and Savior-and has changed my prayer life too! I would recommend this book to anyone who is seeking after a deeper walk with the Lord.

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• Sales Rank: #526400 in Books
• Published on: 1999
• Binding: Hardcover
• 60 pages

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1 of 1 people found the following review helpful.
Great book but cheaper at the dollor tree.
By Douglas Mitchell
Its a great series but you can buy this at any dollar tree for exactly $1. just as an fyi

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